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Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023?

resultNo

Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023?

resultNo

Depending on the US supplying Ukraine with an ATACMS, Will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?

ATACMS providedresult: No
ATACMS not providedAnnulled

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024?

resultNo

Depending on Ukraine re-taking control of Kherson, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?

Russian ControlAnnulled
Ukrainian Controlresult: No

Depending on US/NATO conducting military operations in Ukraine, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?

US/NATO Ops in UAAnnulled
No US/NATO Ops in UAresult: No

Depending on the US giving Ukraine fighter aircraft, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?

Has US aircraftAnnulled
No US aircraftresult: No

Depending on Ukraine gaining territory in Crimea, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?

> 50 km^2Ambiguous
< 50 km^2result: No

Depending on Ukraine striking targets in Russian territory, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?

Ukraine does not strikeAmbiguous
Ukraine strikesresult: No