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Most useful forecastint tools/data sources

26
33 comments33
Metaculus Meta

Predict your true beliefs

12
9 comments9
Metaculus Meta

How does the process at Metaculus compare to the Delphi method?

8 comments8

How many of the "priority paths" identified by 80,000hours will still be priority paths in 2030?

5.7
paths

Will an LLM pass an ARA evaluation before 2025?

resultNo