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Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?

resultNo

How many cyberattacks by Iran against US Govt. systems in Q1 2020?

result4

[short fuse] Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in 2022?

resultNo

Will there be a successful cyberattack on the 2022 FIFA World Cup?

resultNo

Will a cyberattack directly cause one or more deaths in 2022?

resultNo

Will any single cyberattack in 2022 result in damages over $10 billion?

resultNo

Will there be a publicly reported cyberattack against the global navigation satellite systems between April 1, 2022 and May 31, 2023?

resultNo

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

resultNo

Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

55%chance