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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

A major "theft" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?

resultYes

How many Blockchain patents on Nov. 10?

result84.95352

Will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key in 2030?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

25%chance

Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?

resultNo

Will 2048-bit RSA be broken before 256-bit ECC?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

53%chance

What will the community average log-score be after the 500th question?

result0.155

What will Bitcoin's hash rate be in November 2019?

result97.376

Bitcoin Lightning Network Capacity in BTC on 2021-Aug-25

result2358.7

Foresight 2020

17
4 comments4
Foresight 2020 Contest

In the year ending November 2nd, 2020, will blockchain-enabled systems be applied to issues of substantial geopolitical importance?

resultNo