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Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote?

resultYes

Will Nebraska legally allocate its electoral votes on a winner-take-all basis in the 2024 presidential election?

resultNo
condition

2024 US popular vote: 3rd party at least 5%?

Resolved:No
7 forecasters
if yes
if no

2024 US Election Winner to Win Popular Vote?

50%
50%
Resolved:Annulled

2024 US Election Winner to Win Popular Vote?

75%
75%
Resolved:Yes
1
1 comment1