• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🤖
Q2 AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates?

This question is closed for forecasting.
Latest Community predictions were:

What will be the speed (in FLOPS) of the fastest supercomputer on record in the following years?

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

Will the estimated training FLOPs of any exfiltrated AI exceed the indicated amount before the indicated year?

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

OVH20%
Amazon Web Services13%
Microsoft Azure8%
and 1 other

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH20.6%
Amazon Web Services15.5%
Microsoft Azure15%
and 1 other

Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?

Google5%
AMD5%
Nvidia3%

How much of Nvidia's quarterly 2024 revenue (FY 2025) will come from the Chinese market?

Will the FLOPs thresholds outlined in the US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be updated before the indicated year?

2025result: No
2027result: Yes
2030result: Yes
and 3 others

What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?