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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?

resultNo

Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?

resultYes

Metaknowledge Experiment Part B: what will the Metaculus community predict about Brexit?

Ambiguous

Is market volatility set to strongly increase?

resultNo

Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?

resultNo

Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.

resultNo

Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?

resultNo

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

1%chance

Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?

resultYes

Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?

resultNo