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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?

resultNo

Will the banana plague reach Latin America?

resultNo

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

10%chance

What will the U.S. market for plant-based meat be worth in the year ending in April 2023?

result6820

Will there turn out to be widespread fossils of algae and lichens on Mars?

3%chance

Will the Humani Bedford Old Baobab die by 2027?

50%chance

What percentage of participants who adhere to the diet in the SMTM potato study and start with a BMI > 30 will lose 20 lbs or more over 4 weeks?

result11.111
condition

2050 CO2 emissions exceed 20 gigatons/year?

2 forecasters
if yes
if no

Global Methane Emissions in 2050?

7.43

Global Methane Emissions in 2050?

6.95
2
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