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Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?

resultYes

Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?

resultNo

Metaknowledge Experiment Part B: What is the Metaculus community's prediction about Bernie Sanders?

Ambiguous

Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?

resultNo

How many US Senate seats will Democrats control after 2018 midterm elections?

result45

Will the winner of the 2020 US Presidential election have been elected to any *other* previous significant political office?

resultYes

Will the 2020 Democratic Nominee be either Kamala Harris or Bernie Sanders?

resultNo

How many Senate Democrats will vote to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court?

result1

If Sanders becomes president in 2020, how many unsheltered homeless people will there be in the US at the end of his term?

Ambiguous

How many contests will Bernie Sanders win in the 2020 Democratic Primaries?

result10