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Will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus before 2022?

resultNo

Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?

result-28

Before January 1, 2023, will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus?

resultNo

Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2023?

resultNo

Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023?

resultNo

Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022?

resultNo

Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Forecasting Nuclear Risk in 2022

34
7 comments7
Ukraine Conflict

Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2040?

4%chance

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024?

resultNo

Will Russia start another wave of mobilization before the following dates?

March 1, 2023result: No
July 1, 2023result: No