• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🤖
Q2 AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

How many State of AI Report 2021 predictions will be judged true by their authors in the 2022 report?

result3

The Westinghouse Contingency

3
5 comments5
AI Progress Essay Contest

What will be the total venture capital funding (in USD) for Anthropic, Adept, Character, Inflection, Conjecture, Cohere, & Huggingface on June 30, 2023?

result4.1851B

Will Anthropic launch a Large Language Model at the following levels of access before Sept 30, 2023?

Partially OpenAmbiguous
Publicresult: Yes

Will Claude outrank Bard worldwide on Google Trends as of April 4, 2023?

Ambiguous

At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?

Mark Zuckerbergresult: No
Sundar Pichairesult: No
Sam Altmanresult: No
and 2 others

Will an Elon Musk-funded AI lab release an LLM before 2024?

resultYes

Will there be a Frontier AI lab in a non-Democracy before 2026?

resultYes

Will there be a Frontier AI Lab outside the US before 2026?

resultYes

When will an agentized-LLM system like Auto-GPT be first reported to have been used to do significant real-world harm?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

05 May 2024