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Will Antifa officially be labeled a terrorist group in the US before 2022?

resultNo

Will United States military troops be in Afghanistan on 2021-10-7?

resultNo

Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?

42.1%chance

Will a non-state actor have acquired a nuclear weapon from a state by 2030?

2%chance

Will a non-state actor develop their own nuclear weapon by 2030?

1%chance

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

Aug 2052