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Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?

resultYes

[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.

resultYes

Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?

resultNo

Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?

resultNo

Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?

resultYes

Will "Planet Nine" be discovered in 2016?

resultNo

Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?

resultNo

Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?

resultYes

Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?

resultYes

Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?

resultNo