Question

How many named variants of SARS-COV-2 in its first 10 years?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction17.1

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>500

...

14.72

17.08

22.12

0.1%

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

2019–20 coronavirus pandemic

COVID-19

Public health

Medicine

International Astronomical Union

Virology

World Health Organization

Microbiology

Epidemiology

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

119k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

2019–20 coronavirus pandemic

COVID-19

Public health

Medicine

International Astronomical Union

Virology

World Health Organization

Microbiology

Epidemiology

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Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

119k