Question

What will be the number of unmanned aircraft sightings (UAS) in 2022?

Resolved :1.82k

24 comments24

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction2.29k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<1.2k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2.9k

...

0.5%

2.057k

2.295k

2.653k

13.0%

What was the final result?1.82k

Community Baseline Score

-94.9

Community Peer Score

22.7

Authors:

BellardiaLemonus

Opened:

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Resolves:

Economy & Business

Technology

Federal Aviation Administration

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

20%

Will aerial drones deliver 100 million or more parcels in the US by 2050?

57%

What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years?

3.48k

Comments

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Authors:

BellardiaLemonus

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Technology

Federal Aviation Administration

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

20%

Will aerial drones deliver 100 million or more parcels in the US by 2050?

57%

What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years?

3.48k