Question

Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?

Resolved :No

45 comments45

Total Forecasters414

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

46.6

Community Peer Score

84.9

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Naval ranks and insignia of the Russian Federation

Black Sea

Russo-Ukrainian War

Odessa

National Guard of Russia

Ukrainian Navy

Ukraine

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

51%

Will Ukraine withdraw from Kursk before December 1, 2024?

20%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Naval ranks and insignia of the Russian Federation

Black Sea

Russo-Ukrainian War

Odessa

National Guard of Russia

Ukrainian Navy

Ukraine

Russia-Ukraine war: Putin orders Russia to boost size of army

CNN•Sep 16, 2024

Putin Aiming for Victory in Ukraine by 2026: Defense Experts

Newsweek•Sep 17, 2024

Russia War Map Shows Ukraine Carve Out New Incursion into Kursk

Newsweek•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

51%

Will Ukraine withdraw from Kursk before December 1, 2024?

20%