Question
Question
How many FLOPS will be used to train GPT-4 (if it is released)?
Resolved :6.6e26Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction1.3e25
Make a Prediction
My Prediction
community<1e22
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1e27
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
4.9e24
1.3e25
2.9e25
0.5%
What was the final result?6.6e26
Community Baseline Score
30.5
Community Peer Score
16.2