Question

Will Kim Jong-un remain the de facto leader of North Korea until (at least) January 1, 2024?

Resolved :Yes

11 comments11

Total Forecasters107

Community Prediction100%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99.6%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

92.6

Community Peer Score

10.4

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Workers' Party of Korea

When will Kim Jong Un no longer be the leader of North Korea?

2046-08-14

Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?

Will Xi Jinping continue leading China in 2030?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Workers' Party of Korea

Kim Jong Un promises to 'steadily strengthen' North Korea's 'nuclear force'

FOX News•Sep 12, 2024

North Korea releases images of Kim Jong Un visiting a uranium enrichment site

CNN•Sep 13, 2024

North Korea releases rare glimpse of Kim Jong Un touring secret nuclear weapons facility

USA Today•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Kim Jong Un no longer be the leader of North Korea?

2046-08-14

Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?

Will Xi Jinping continue leading China in 2030?

60%