Question

Will China reach 1,000 nuclear warheads by 2030?

11
6
Total Forecasters71
Community Prediction
71%
(54.5% - 85%)

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50%
community: 71%
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Authors:
PhilippSchoenegger
Opened:Nov 22, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 24, 2021
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
Arms Control Association
China
Federation of American Scientists
US Department of Defense