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How many nuclear weapons will exist globally in 2050?
7
3 comments
3
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
16
Community Prediction
10.9k
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Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
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My Prediction
community
<1k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100k
...
...
...
...
...
2.4%
6.759k
10.89k
19.2k
1.6%
Background Info
Authors:
RyanBeck
A_R
Matej
erikhoel
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Erik Hoel's 2050 Predictions Series
Geopolitics
Technology
Federation of American Scientists
Cold War
North Korea
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Authors:
RyanBeck
A_R
Matej
erikhoel
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Erik Hoel's 2050 Predictions Series
Geopolitics
Technology
Federation of American Scientists
Cold War
North Korea
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
America Should Avoid, Not Fight, Future Nuclear Wars
American Conservative
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Sep 12, 2024
Key takeaways from AP’s examination of South Korea’s split views on North Korea’s nuclear threats
Associated Press
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Sep 12, 2024
Biden’s Legacy: the Decline of Arms Control and Disarmament
CounterPunch
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Sep 13, 2024
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
America Should Avoid, Not Fight, Future Nuclear Wars
American Conservative
•
Sep 12, 2024
Key takeaways from AP’s examination of South Korea’s split views on North Korea’s nuclear threats
Associated Press
•
Sep 12, 2024
Biden’s Legacy: the Decline of Arms Control and Disarmament
CounterPunch
•
Sep 13, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
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