Question
When will Australia commission its first nuclear-powered submarine?
Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction
Jan 2040
(Aug 2035 - Oct 2046)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 Mar 2023 | 0.9% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Aug 2035 | — |
| median | Jan 2040 | — |
| upper 75% | Oct 2046 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2050 | 15.7% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 2, 2021
Closes:Dec 30, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Dec 30, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 4, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Oct 2, 2021
Closes:Dec 30, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Dec 30, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 4, 2021