Question
How many at-risk Nigerian states will experience Islamic State attacks from September 17, 2021 to September 17, 2023?
Resolved:AmbiguousTotal Forecasters26
Community Prediction
10.5
(9.48 - 12.4)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 9.483 | — |
median | 10.48 | — |
upper 75% | 12.41 | — |
What was the final result?Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Sep 16, 2021
Closes:Sep 17, 2023
Resolves:Oct 4, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 18, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Sep 16, 2021
Closes:Sep 17, 2023
Resolves:Oct 4, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 18, 2021