Question
What will be the best proven upper bound on the infimum of S in 2120? [old, see new version in comments]
Resolved:AmbiguousTotal Forecasters3
Community Prediction
<0.5
(<0.5 - 0.917)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<0.5 | 58.9% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | <0.5 | — |
median | <0.5 | — |
upper 75% | 0.9172 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>1 | 22.8% | — |
What was the final result?Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Sep 16, 2021
Closes:Jan 2, 2030
Resolves:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 18, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Sep 16, 2021
Closes:Jan 2, 2030
Resolves:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 18, 2021