Question

Will a US Census in 2070 or earlier show a decline in population?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters53

Community Prediction47%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 47%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

What will the US population be in these years?

341

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

38%

What will be the largest single-year population decline between 2021 to 2120?

1.99

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Population: As US Births Fall, Do We Need More Kids? Demographer Weighs In

Newsweek•Sep 12, 2024

Share of foreign-born in the U.S. at highest rate in more than a century, says survey

Associated Press•Sep 12, 2024

Percentage of foreign-born people in US hits highest rate in over a century: data

New York Post•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the US population be in these years?

341

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

38%

What will be the largest single-year population decline between 2021 to 2120?

1.99