Question

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results?

13%

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

14 pro-Trump electors linked to efforts to reverse his 2020 loss are back for 2024

NPR Online News•Sep 13, 2024

How Republicans Could Block a Democratic Victory in Georgia

Mother Jones•Sep 19, 2024

2024 brings back fake electors for Donald Trump, even some facing charges for 2020

USA Today•Sep 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results?

13%

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?