Question

Will New York City experience a hurricane before 2030?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction65%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 65%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

New York City

Meteorology

Natural disaster

1938 New England hurricane

Hurricane Sandy

Saffir–Simpson scale

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

12.5

Will the Atlantic basin see more than 18 named storms in the 2024 hurricane season?

20%

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

New York City

Meteorology

Natural disaster

1938 New England hurricane

Hurricane Sandy

Saffir–Simpson scale

Francine Floods New Orleans as Storm Plows Inland: Live Updates

New York Times•Sep 12, 2024

Hurricane Center Warns of Flooding as Tropical Storm Helene May Form Today

Newsweek•Sep 17, 2024

North Carolina’s coast has been deluged by the fifth historic flood in 25 years

Associated Press•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

12.5

Will the Atlantic basin see more than 18 named storms in the 2024 hurricane season?

20%

MetaculusM

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Will New York City experience a hurricane before 2030?

Make a Prediction

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

Will the Atlantic basin see more than 18 named storms in the 2024 hurricane season?

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

Comments

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

Will the Atlantic basin see more than 18 named storms in the 2024 hurricane season?

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

Will the Atlantic basin see more than 18 named storms in the 2024 hurricane season?

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

Will the Atlantic basin see more than 18 named storms in the 2024 hurricane season?

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?