Question
When will the Mars helicopter Ingenuity stop making successful flights for 6 months, if it is operational through January 1, 2022?
Resolved:19 Jan 2024Total Forecasters40
Community Prediction
25 Jan 2024
(27 Dec 2023 - 01 Mar 2024)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 27 Dec 2023 | — |
| median | 25 Jan 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | 01 Mar 2024 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2029 | 0.5% | — |
What was the final result?19 Jan 2024
Community Baseline Score
17.3
Community Peer Score
20.6
Authors:
Opened:Sep 4, 2021
Closes:Jan 2, 2030
Resolves:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 6, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Sep 4, 2021
Closes:Jan 2, 2030
Resolves:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 6, 2021