Question

When will there be a human fatality during travel to or from a heavenly body?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction2038-05-05

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2100-01-01

...

2032-06-16 16:53

2038-05-05 19:49

2045-11-02 01:50

0.4%

Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?

When will the 10,000th human reach space?

2051-04-25

Will space debris cause at least one fatality in space before 2035?

10%

Comments

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Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Polaris Dawn Sets New Space Altitude Record

Time•Sep 12, 2024

SpaceX Polaris Dawn: Why the world’s first civilian spacewalk is finally making private space travel useful

Independent•Sep 12, 2024

SpaceX’s Polaris Dawn astronauts complete spacewalk: How it happened

Al Jazeera•Sep 12, 2024

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What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?

When will the 10,000th human reach space?

2051-04-25

Will space debris cause at least one fatality in space before 2035?

10%