Question
When will there be a human fatality during travel to or from a heavenly body?
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction
Jul 2037
(Mar 2031 - Sep 2045)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Mar 2031 | — |
| median | Jul 2037 | — |
| upper 75% | Sep 2045 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 0.6% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 18, 2021
Closes:Aug 23, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 20, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Aug 18, 2021
Closes:Aug 23, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 20, 2021