Question

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters53

Community Prediction122k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<100

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>5M

...

0.1%

85.43k

122.2k

204.9k

0.2%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

152k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

119k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

COVID-19 remained at 'very high' activity levels across the US: See latest data

USA Today•Sep 12, 2024

'Vaccine fatigue' blamed as roughly half of people in US will skip COVID and flu shots this year

FOX News•Sep 17, 2024

Will The New COVID XEC Variant Cause A Fall 2024 Surge?

Forbes•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

152k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

119k