Question

Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024?

Resolved:No

18 comments18

Total Forecasters201

Community Prediction

0.2%

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

89.4

Community Peer Score

6.4

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Jun 25, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 27, 2021

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11%