Question

Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?

Resolved :No

3 comments3

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction6%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 6%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

73.2

Community Peer Score

8.5

median 6.0%mean 10.4%

Authors:

IARPA Question Bot

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

21%

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

15%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

IARPA Question Bot

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge

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Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

21%

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

15%