Question
How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?
Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction
3575 people
(2121 people - 6221 people)
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CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<250 | 5.7% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 2121 | — |
median | 3575 | — |
upper 75% | 6221 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>20k | 3.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2021
Closes:Jun 30, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Apr 30, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 10, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2021
Closes:Jun 30, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Apr 30, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 10, 2021