Question
When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?
Total Forecasters192
Community Prediction
2118
(Dec 1992 - 2728)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1893 | 2.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Dec 1992 | — |
| median | 2118 | — |
| upper 75% | 2728 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2999 | 21.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 16, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2999
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 4000
Spot Scoring Time:May 17, 2021
Authors:
Opened:May 16, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2999
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 4000
Spot Scoring Time:May 17, 2021