Question

When will the world create the first Trillionaire?

37 comments37

Total Forecasters273

Community Prediction2031-07-06

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

2027-05-13 23:50

2031-07-06 20:34

2038-11-20 23:59

Authors:

AdamKosloff

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Amazon (company)

Bill Gates

The World's Billionaires

Jeff Bezos

Credit Suisse

Satoshi Nakamoto

Who will be the first USD trillionaire?

Will Elon Musk become the first trillionaire?

16%

Will the richest person in the world in 2033 have a net worth equivalent to or greater than 2% of the United States' GDP at the time?

54%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AdamKosloff

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Amazon (company)

Bill Gates

The World's Billionaires

Jeff Bezos

Credit Suisse

Satoshi Nakamoto

Walmart Heir Jim Walton's Net Worth Hits $100 Billion

Newsweek•Sep 13, 2024

Elon Musk is on track to become the world’s first trillionaire very soon

CNN•Sep 17, 2024

Walmart heiress Alice Walton is once again the richest woman in the world, Forbes says

USA Today•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will be the first USD trillionaire?

Will Elon Musk become the first trillionaire?

16%

Will the richest person in the world in 2033 have a net worth equivalent to or greater than 2% of the United States' GDP at the time?

54%