Question

Will Kessler syndrome occur before 2050?

79 comments79

Total Forecasters427

Community Prediction17%

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50%

community: 17%

median 17.0%mean 18.9%

Authors:

jzima

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Space

Economy & Business

Technology

Outline of space science

Astronomy

Federal Communications Commission

Physics

Kessler syndrome

Environmental science

United States

If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?

2040-08-02

What will be the estimated number of break-ups, explosions, collisions, or anomalous events resulting in fragmentation in space as of January 1, 2030?

1.1k

Space Debris and the Kessler Syndrome

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Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Economy & Business

Technology

Outline of space science

Astronomy

Federal Communications Commission

Physics

Kessler syndrome

Environmental science

United States

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If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?

2040-08-02

What will be the estimated number of break-ups, explosions, collisions, or anomalous events resulting in fragmentation in space as of January 1, 2030?

1.1k