Question
In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?
Total Forecasters95
Community Prediction
287k years
(255 years - 111B years)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1 | 3.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 255.4 | — |
| median | 287.1k | — |
| upper 75% | 110.6B | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1×10¹⁶ | 14.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 20, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 3000
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 21, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Feb 20, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 3000
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 21, 2021