Question
How many successful test flights will the Mars Helicopter, Ingenuity, complete within 31 days of its first flight attempt?
Resolved:5Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction
3.96
(1.65 - >5)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 1.649 | — |
| median | 3.959 | — |
| upper 75% | >5 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >5 | 25.6% | — |
What was the final result?5
Community Baseline Score
102.2
Community Peer Score
101.8
Authors:
Opened:Mar 2, 2021
Closes:Mar 19, 2021
Resolves:May 20, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 3, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Mar 2, 2021
Closes:Mar 19, 2021
Resolves:May 20, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 3, 2021