Question
How many non-Tesla vehicles will be licensed with Tesla software by 2030?
Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction
490k vehicles
(<1 vehicles - 5.76M vehicles)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1 | 34.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | <1 | — |
| median | 489.6k | — |
| upper 75% | 5.76M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100M | 4.7% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 23, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 25, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Sep 23, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 25, 2022