Question

Will most dark matter turn out to be primordial black holes?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters61

Community Prediction

6.9%

(3% - 10%)

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50%

community: 6.9%

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Authors:

2e10e122

Opened:

Feb 20, 2021

Closes:

Jun 30, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2049

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 22, 2021

Primordial black hole

Astrophysics

Big Bang

Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?

52%

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

67%

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

53%