Question

Will the LVCC loop overwhelmingly use autonomous vehicles before 2023?

Resolved :No

40 comments40

Total Forecasters42

Community Prediction15%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

73.6

Community Peer Score

14.0

Authors:

randallburns

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

72%

Will TBC complete two transit systems bigger than LVCC loop < 2030?

37%

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

24%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

randallburns

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Waymo and Uber expand their robotaxi partnership to Austin and Atlanta

Verge•Sep 13, 2024

Waymo robotaxis to become available on Uber in Austin, Atlanta in early 2025

TechCrunch•Sep 13, 2024

Is this weirdly shaped, canary yellow thing Tesla’s robotaxi?

Verge•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

72%

Will TBC complete two transit systems bigger than LVCC loop < 2030?

37%

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

24%