Question

How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in 2025?

Total Forecasters80
Community Prediction
2.66M vehicles
(2.04M vehicles - 3.52M vehicles)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<1M4.8%
Quartiles
lower 25%2.044M
median2.66M
upper 75%3.518M
Upper bound
>10M0.2%
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 24, 2021
Closes:Mar 14, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Mar 15, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 26, 2021