Question

When will the next human being walk on the Moon?

26 comments26

Total Forecasters266

Community Prediction2029-05-02

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upper 75%

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2026-12-11 10:23

2029-05-02 04:42

2033-03-02 02:51

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How many humans will have landed on the moon before anyone does on Mars?

When will the first manned spacecraft touch the surface of any planet, dwarf planet, or moon other than Earth, Earth's Moon, or Mars?

2049-02-04

By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?

18.2

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converse

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Polaris Dawn astronauts complete first commercial spacewalk

Guardian•Sep 12, 2024

SpaceX’s Polaris Dawn makes history with first private spacewalk

Al Jazeera•Sep 13, 2024

NASA prepares to head back to the moon. : Consider This from NPR

NPR Online News•Sep 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many humans will have landed on the moon before anyone does on Mars?

When will the first manned spacecraft touch the surface of any planet, dwarf planet, or moon other than Earth, Earth's Moon, or Mars?

2049-02-04

By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?

18.2