Question

When will the Novavax SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?

Resolved :Above upper bound

34 comments34

Total Forecasters65

Community Prediction2021-12-31

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lower 25%

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upper 75%

>2021-12-31

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2021-12-31 00:00

91.0%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score

61.8

Community Peer Score

116.3

Authors:

juancambeiro

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Mexico

Food and Drug Administration

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

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2025-11-02

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%

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