Question

Will there be a major nuclear accident before 2030?

62 comments62

Total Forecasters327

Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

median 20.0%mean 21.9%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster

International Atomic Energy Agency

Civil engineering

United Nations Security Council

Risk management

Nuclear Science and Techniques

International Nuclear Event Scale

Chernobyl disaster

Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025?

If an offensive state nuclear detonation occurs by 2050, will the first detonation be inadvertent?

22%

What percentage of global primary energy consumption will be produced by Nuclear Power in 2040?

7.27

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster

International Atomic Energy Agency

Civil engineering

United Nations Security Council

Risk management

Nuclear Science and Techniques

International Nuclear Event Scale

Chernobyl disaster

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Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025?

If an offensive state nuclear detonation occurs by 2050, will the first detonation be inadvertent?

22%

What percentage of global primary energy consumption will be produced by Nuclear Power in 2040?

7.27

MetaculusM

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Will there be a major nuclear accident before 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025?

If an offensive state nuclear detonation occurs by 2050, will the first detonation be inadvertent?

What percentage of global primary energy consumption will be produced by Nuclear Power in 2040?

Comments

Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025?

If an offensive state nuclear detonation occurs by 2050, will the first detonation be inadvertent?

What percentage of global primary energy consumption will be produced by Nuclear Power in 2040?

Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025?

If an offensive state nuclear detonation occurs by 2050, will the first detonation be inadvertent?

What percentage of global primary energy consumption will be produced by Nuclear Power in 2040?

Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025?

If an offensive state nuclear detonation occurs by 2050, will the first detonation be inadvertent?

What percentage of global primary energy consumption will be produced by Nuclear Power in 2040?