M

Question

Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?

22
44
Total Forecasters206
Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%
median 1.0%mean 4.0%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Cato
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Elections
Democratic Party (US)
2024 Elections (US)
Republican Party (US)

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