Question

Will Elon Musk have double the wealth of the second richest person before 2023?

Resolved :No

27 comments27

Total Forecasters63

Community Prediction9%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 9%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

88.6

Community Peer Score

10.8

median 9.0%mean 10.2%

Authors:

nextbigfuture

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Elon Musk

Bloomberg Billionaires Index

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?

51%

Will Elon Musk become the first trillionaire?

16%

Will the richest person in the world in 2033 have a net worth equivalent to or greater than 2% of the United States' GDP at the time?

54%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

nextbigfuture

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Elon Musk

Bloomberg Billionaires Index

Elon Musk Owes His Success to Coming in Second Place

Scientific American•Sep 13, 2024

Oracle Rally Briefly Propels Larry Ellison To World's Second-Richest

Forbes•Sep 13, 2024

Elon Musk is on track to become the world’s first trillionaire very soon

CNN•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?

51%

Will Elon Musk become the first trillionaire?

16%

Will the richest person in the world in 2033 have a net worth equivalent to or greater than 2% of the United States' GDP at the time?

54%