Question

What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-01-24 and ending on 2021-01-30 (inclusive)?

Resolved:22.093k

22 comments22

Total Forecasters47

Community Prediction

22.8k

(20.7k - 24.8k)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>40k
community	20.67k	22.79k	24.75k	0.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	20.67k	—
median	22.79k	—
upper 75%	24.75k	—
Upper bound
>40k	0.3%	—

What was the final result?22.093k

Community Baseline Score

66.2

Community Peer Score

15.7

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Jan 6, 2021

Closes:

Jan 16, 2021

Resolves:

Feb 6, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 8, 2021

2021 Leaderboard

Johns Hopkins University

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?

142

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

143k