Question
How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction
1.28 logMAR
(0.917 logMAR - 1.6 logMAR)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-0.5 | 0.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 0.9171 | — |
| median | 1.277 | — |
| upper 75% | 1.599 | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 9, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 9, 2021