Question
When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?
Total Forecasters100
Community Prediction
Jul 2037
(Feb 2031 - May 2047)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Feb 2031 | — |
| median | Jul 2037 | — |
| upper 75% | May 2047 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2080 | 6.8% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 19, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 31, 2081
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 21, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Feb 19, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 31, 2081
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 21, 2021