Question

The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?

Resolved :No

12 comments12

Total Forecasters85

Community Prediction19%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 19%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

55.5

Community Peer Score

11.3

median 19.0%mean 21.5%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Technology

Federal Aviation Administration

Transport

Military science

Robotics

Unmanned aerial vehicle

Aerospace engineering

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

20%

Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

2038-05-26

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Technology

Federal Aviation Administration

Transport

Military science

Robotics

Unmanned aerial vehicle

Aerospace engineering

Inspired by Ukraine, US Army picks two commercially available drones

Defense One•Sep 13, 2024

I Have Seen the Future of Drone Warfare and It Is Frighteningly Beautiful

PJ Media•Sep 13, 2024

US Trains for Drone War in Contested South China Sea

Newsweek•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

20%

Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

2038-05-26

MetaculusM

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The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?

Make a Prediction

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

Comments

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?